Category Archives: Problems with perception intuition and judgement

An inability to learn

From a review of Lynne Olson’s Last Hope Island that I found in the Fin this weekend: In the early evening of March 6, 1942, Lauwers sat in an apartment in The Hague, waiting to begin his scheduled biweekly transmission … Continue reading

Posted in Decision-making, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Poor reasoning, Principal-Agent Problems, Problem Solving, Problems with perception intuition and judgement, Strat. Assumptions v. Tac. Indicators, Thinking Course, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Nietzschean ‘Ressentiment’, 21st century style

Ressentiment is a reassignment of the pain that accompanies a sense of one’s own inferiority/failure onto an external scapegoat. The ego creates the illusion of an enemy, a cause that can be “blamed” for one’s own inferiority/failure. Thus, one was thwarted … Continue reading

Posted in Cult-Marx Inversion, Democracy and freedom of mind, Freedom of speech, Groupthink, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Narrative and Taboo, Problems with perception intuition and judgement, Rationalisation, Straw Men, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

‘Unconscious Bias’: voodoo for the industrial age

Reading through the Weekend Fin I couldn’t help but notice this story about a bloke called Angus Aitken who has got himself on the wrong side of the Thought Police:

Posted in Groupthink, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Narrative and Taboo, Problems with perception intuition and judgement, The Mind & Society | Leave a comment

I’m not sure how to explain this

From the governor of the central bank of Lithuania: “Markets say the ECB is done, their box is empty,” Vasiliauskas, who heads Lithuania’s central bank. “But we are magic people. Each time we take something and give to the markets — … Continue reading

Posted in Problems with perception intuition and judgement, The Mind & Society | 1 Comment

You can hypothesise anything

I woke up this morning to this report at Investment Research Dynamics: On December 23, 2015 the Federal Reserve’s Capital Account plunged by 65% – $19 billion – when the Surplus Capital Account dropped by that amount … The 65% plunge … Continue reading

Posted in Hypotheses, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Problems with perception intuition and judgement | Leave a comment

Feminism and Islam: Cognitive dissonance

Sterling insight, superbly expressed, from Phillip Mark McGough at Quillette: As a general point, it really is astonishing the extent to which the feminist left (in fact, the left in general) is prepared to veto entire chapters of its own … Continue reading

Posted in Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, Prize for True Wit, Problems with perception intuition and judgement | Leave a comment

Law of Small Numbers: Goulburn woman fail

Among the letters in yesterday’s The Weekend Australian: I was in Germany between November 22 and December 7 – Berlin, Leipzig, Dresden, Nuremberg, Munich and Freiburg. There were no refugees evident apart from one young man at Berlin Hauptbahnhof politely seeking directions … Continue reading

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Narrative & Taboo IV

We have the good fortune – in the entirely academic sense, as people interested in thinking, and the relationship between the mind & society – to be watching a social narrative die in front of our eyes. Falling under a thousand blows, … Continue reading

Posted in Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, Narrative and Taboo, Problems with perception intuition and judgement, The Mind & Society | Leave a comment

The Horrendous NBN

Catching up on my reading, and on material which I have wanted to write a post about after seeing it, I finally found these couple of pieces, from the Fin Review of June 12 this year, regarding the National Broadband Network. First, … Continue reading

Posted in Decision-making, Esau Problem, Moral Hazard, Poor reasoning, Problems with perception intuition and judgement | Leave a comment

Bob Woodward on the Invasion of Iraq – didactic passages

I have recently worked my way through US journalist Bob Woodward’s 2006 book State of Denial: Bush at War, Part III. Not having read parts I and II, I wasn’t sure at first what to expect. However, it is a great read, composed … Continue reading

Posted in Decision-making, Good Thinking, Groupthink, Hypotheses, intuition and judgment, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, Nullius in verba, Problems with perception intuition and judgement, Sound Reasoning | Tagged , , | 1 Comment