Category Archives: Motivated Reasoning

Confirmation bias: reporting the story, or the story as one sees it?

In a letter to the Financial Times of July 6, Martin Staniforth engages in critical thinking and asks the right questions: Sir, Peter Geiger (Letters, July 3) castigates public servants for relying on expert advice. However he seems only too … Continue reading

Posted in Critical Thinking, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, Problems with perception intuition and judgement | Leave a comment

Confirmation bias: Zhou Enlai’s quip about the French Revolution

From a letter to the Financial Times by Jonathan Fenby, Chairman of China Research at TS Lombard: Sir, The quip from Zhou Enlai that it was “too early to tell about the impact of the French Revolution, cited by Lex … Continue reading

Posted in Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, Problems with perception intuition and judgement | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Climate Change – Me, Trump, SWP, The Narrative and Thomas Bayes

On May 23, this letter appeared in the Australian Financial Review: Can we risk denying climate science? On March 9 this year Scott Pruitt, the new head of the US Environmental Protection Agency, said there was “tremendous disagreement” about the … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Motivated Reasoning, Narrative and Taboo, The Mind & Society | Leave a comment

O dear, confirmation bias

Twenty years after Sokal and Bricmont produced their hoax on post-modernism, we have a hoax trolling the post-structuralists – just as good, and likely just as ineffectual: ‘The androcentric scientific and meta-scientific evidence that the penis is the male reproductive organ … Continue reading

Posted in Groupthink, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning | Leave a comment

Rationalisation, discrimination, de-legitimisation … you know the rest

Interested, while controlling my revulsion at the subject matter, to read this, via Unz: By the logic of gay liberation, Thiel is an example of a man who has sex with other men, but not a gay man. Because he … Continue reading

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‘This is the essence of what it means to be crazy’: Justin Raimondo seeks to explain the inexplicable

An excellent and laconic, and honed essay by Justin Raimondo at Anti-War, describing and seeking to explain a phenomenon which I have trouble getting my head around: the self-defeating and self-deluding behaviour of the elites in western countries. Some excerpts: 

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Verballing Paul Volcker

I was interested to learn of this publication, written by two of the lecturers under whom I studied at university (plus a third who is unknown to me). While occupying a place on the n-dimensional political spectrum which is the polar opposite … Continue reading

Posted in Moral Hazard, Motivated Reasoning, Principal-Agent Problems | 1 Comment

Belief Preservation among economists

Vox Day interviews academic economist Steve Keen about the problems some economists have adjusting to reality: VOX: Why do you think the mainstream economists failed to learn anything from the 2008 crisis, given the fact that these minor school economists, … Continue reading

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Real-Time Belief Preservation

Razib Khan notices real, existing belief preservation shaping public policy and the public-policy debate in the United States: On the flip side of this, many liberals erase Asian Americans from the landscape of our culture if it does not serve … Continue reading

Posted in 'No True Scotsman' Award, Motivated Reasoning, The Mind & Society | Leave a comment

Islamic terrorism and slothful induction, part LXXIV

Yes, I know, I know. But they keep on indulging in it. So I have to keep writing about it. Anyway, it’s not me this time. It’s Steve Sailer who takes the mickey. And superbly, too.

Posted in Informal fallacies in reasoning, Motivated Reasoning, Prize for Slothful Induction | Leave a comment