Category Archives: Good Thinking

Bernard Lewis on Hypothesis Testing

A quotation on hypothesis-testing from the recently-deceased scholar of islam Bernard Lewis, which I saw recently in this article in Quadrant: The scholar tests his hypothesis against the evidence; he doesn’t test the evidence against his hypothesis, and then accept … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Hypotheses, Thinking Course | Leave a comment

John Kay: insight into the mind-set of the ageing policy elite

When I first started reading the Financial Times seventeen years ago, three columnists stood out for the quality of their thought: the film reviewer (whose name I’ve forgotten), Martin Wolf and John Kay. I don’t know what has happened to … Continue reading

Posted in Critical Thinking, Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Sound Reasoning, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Sound reasoning: two recent examples

Three recent examples of sound reasoning that I would like to bring to your attention. The first is a speech to the Global Warming Policy Foundation by the former Prime Minister of Australia, Tony Abbott, delivered in London this last … Continue reading

Posted in Critical Thinking, Cult-Marx Inversion, Epistemic Rationality, Flotsam and Jetsam, Goal Rationality, Good Thinking, Groupthink, Narrative and Taboo, Principal-Agent Problems, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Foresight – Enoch Powell

A letter to the Financial Times, from Mr Julian Boswall, 20 June, 2017: Sir, It is not correct that the people in Britain were mendaciously told in 1975 that the common market had “no political agenda” (Letters, June 16). Enoch … Continue reading

Posted in Benefits, Critical Thinking, Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Insights, intuition and judgment, Narrative and Taboo, Sound Reasoning, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Leftist’s Action, Liberty’s Reaction

I’ve been observing developments on the left-side fringes of US politics with a growing sense of anxiety, driven in equal parts by bewilderment and deep concern. The most recent election has removed the masking slogans of tolerance, harmony and diversity, … Continue reading

Posted in Cult-Marx Inversion, Democracy and freedom of mind, Epistemic Rationality, Freedom of speech, Good Thinking, Groupthink, Narrative and Taboo, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | 1 Comment

Multiple intelligences, multiple competencies

About two months into the new job, and getting to know my colleagues, tasks, managers and obligations. One thing I’ve had presented to me in this role is senior managers and executives who are capable in one area, or one competency, but … Continue reading

Posted in Good Thinking, intuition and judgment, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Poor reasoning | Leave a comment

Zerohedge ‘base rates’ Black Lives Matter

Base rates! Base rates! You can’t understand a phenomenon until you look at the base rates! You’re a slave to your impulses unless you look at the base rates! Which Zerohedge gets: By the way, in all the time since ‘Black … Continue reading

Posted in Base Rates, Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Narrative and Taboo, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Trump Presidency: Non-Intuitive Risk Analysis

An interesting approach to analysing the possible risks of a Trump presidency. The value lies not in the risk analysis itself – I don’t agree with some of Adams’ conclusions – but in the novel, non-intuitive way of thinking about risks, and about … Continue reading

Posted in Decision-making, Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Instrumental Rationality, intuition and judgment, Reasoning, Sound Reasoning | Leave a comment

Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Critical Thinking, and Islamic Violence

Browsing lazily through last Saturday’s Australian Financial Review I came across an interview with Ayaan Hirsi Ali, who, for having the temerity to have pointed out the obvious about islam, publicly and vociferously, is now forced to live surrounded by security guards. Towards the … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Instrumental Rationality, Sound Reasoning | Leave a comment

An interesting thought

This insight from Charles Hugh-Smith quite struck me when I read it. Presented with no comment, make of it what you please: We all want to wallow in the false security of one form of the old Soviet Union or … Continue reading

Posted in Flotsam and Jetsam, Good Thinking, Sound Reasoning | Leave a comment