Category Archives: Epistemic Rationality

Fake News: Sharyl Attkisson’s research

A final trip down memory lane for the day: I wrote, after the 2016 US election, about the claims of Fake News that the left were making at the time. This week, I saw from this post that US journalist … Continue reading

Posted in Democracy and freedom of mind, Epistemic Rationality, Freedom of speech, Narrative and Taboo, Privileges Rents and Vested Interests, The Mind & Society | Leave a comment

Bernard Lewis on Hypothesis Testing

A quotation on hypothesis-testing from the recently-deceased scholar of islam Bernard Lewis, which I saw recently in this article in Quadrant: The scholar tests his hypothesis against the evidence; he doesn’t test the evidence against his hypothesis, and then accept … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Hypotheses, Thinking Course | Leave a comment

John Kay: insight into the mind-set of the ageing policy elite

When I first started reading the Financial Times seventeen years ago, three columnists stood out for the quality of their thought: the film reviewer (whose name I’ve forgotten), Martin Wolf and John Kay. I don’t know what has happened to … Continue reading

Posted in Critical Thinking, Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Sound Reasoning, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

The End of Kita Cho-sen, part II

The latest from Jim Rickards: The U.S. hopes to mitigate the collateral damage with a fearsome combination of cyber-warfare, psychological warfare, special operations, massive bombing, and limited air and amphibious invasion. Either Jim is completely delusional, or key policy-makers have … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Flotsam and Jetsam | Leave a comment

Sound reasoning: two recent examples

Three recent examples of sound reasoning that I would like to bring to your attention. The first is a speech to the Global Warming Policy Foundation by the former Prime Minister of Australia, Tony Abbott, delivered in London this last … Continue reading

Posted in Critical Thinking, Cult-Marx Inversion, Epistemic Rationality, Flotsam and Jetsam, Goal Rationality, Good Thinking, Groupthink, Narrative and Taboo, Principal-Agent Problems, The Mind & Society, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Ominous

Zerohedge: I told Rex Tillerson, our wonderful Secretary of State, that he is wasting his time trying to negotiate with Little Rocket Man… Save your energy Rex, we’ll do what has to be done! It appears that President Trump has … Continue reading

Posted in Decision-making, Epistemic Rationality, Flotsam and Jetsam, Goal Rationality, Instrumental Rationality | Leave a comment

Epistemic rationality: the role of data in logistical planning and coordination

Epistemic rationality is the key to economic efficiency, as two pieces from the Financial Times make clear. First, a letter from Richard Christian, August 23 this year: Sir, Martin Sandbu is right when he says that crises are caused by … Continue reading

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False positive: over-zealous securities market regulation in India

Again, from the Financial Times – I’ve been reading a lot and have collected many stories in the last couple of months, but haven’t had time to write them up here – Ham-fisted crackdown sparks Indian companies’ ire: The directors … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Formal fallacies in reasoning, Instrumental Rationality, Poor reasoning | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Habituation: Japan and their difficult neighbours

Also seen in the Financial Times on Friday, from Japan, missiles and bad 1980s bands: There are tow leading answers to why the Nikkei 225 Average only dropped 0.9 per cent in intraday trading on Tuesday despite the heightened risk … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Problems with perception intuition and judgement, Strat. Assumptions v. Tac. Indicators | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Affect Heuristic and Investing

Spotted in the Financial Times on Friday, in an article about Northern Rock [Martin Arnold, ‘Northern Rock investors accuse Treasury of profiting from bailout’, Friday, September 4, 2017]: Many small shareholders lost their life savings when  Northern Rock was nationalised. … Continue reading

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