Category Archives: Base Rates

Zerohedge ‘base rates’ Black Lives Matter

Base rates! Base rates! You can’t understand a phenomenon until you look at the base rates! You’re a slave to your impulses unless you look at the base rates! Which Zerohedge gets: By the way, in all the time since ‘Black … Continue reading

Posted in Base Rates, Epistemic Rationality, Good Thinking, Narrative and Taboo, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

Problems in attributing causation: women’s participation and success in chess

Also in Friday’s Australian Financial Review, this time on page 5 of the ‘Review’ section, was an article by Dominic Lawson about why women were under-represented among the ranks of top chess players worldwide. English grandmaster Nigel Short has, at … Continue reading

Posted in Base Rates, Problem Solving, Reasoning | Tagged , , | Leave a comment