Author Archives: Stebbing Heuer

About Stebbing Heuer

A person interested in exploring human perception, reasoning, judgement and deciding, and in promoting clear, effective thinking and the making of good decisions.

Slothful Induction: an insight from Orwell

Continuing with the theme of Spain and Spanish history, this also appeared in the Financial Times recently: George Orwell, who fought in Catalonia on the Republican side during the Spanish civil war, well understood this. “All nationalists,” he observed, “have … Continue reading

Posted in Informal fallacies in reasoning, Slothful induction | Leave a comment

‘No true Scotsman …’ prize: No true Catalonian?

From a letter in the Financial Times, the details of which I forgot to record (will look them up soon): Spain will never be a true democracy unless it can free itself of its shackles from the past — demilitarise … Continue reading

Posted in 'No True Scotsman' Award, Informal fallacies in reasoning | Leave a comment


Zerohedge: I told Rex Tillerson, our wonderful Secretary of State, that he is wasting his time trying to negotiate with Little Rocket Man… Save your energy Rex, we’ll do what has to be done! It appears that President Trump has … Continue reading

Posted in Decision-making, Epistemic Rationality, Flotsam and Jetsam, Goal Rationality, Instrumental Rationality | Leave a comment

Hillary Clinton’s Logic Bubble

I’ve previously introduced readers to the idea of a logic bubble. This is a concept introduced by the magnificent and prolific Edward de Bono in his book Edward de Bono’s Thinking Course. The Logic-Bubble is a way of thinking about a person’s … Continue reading

Posted in Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, The Mind & Society | Leave a comment

Noticing what’s not there: the quiet

Notice how quiet it has gotten since the North Korean foreign minister came out yesterday, in New York, and stated that, in the eyes of North Korea, Trump’s tweet that Little Rocket Man and his foreign minister won’t be around … Continue reading

Posted in Flotsam and Jetsam, Strat. Assumptions v. Tac. Indicators | Leave a comment

Slothful induction and islamic terrorism: belling the cat

Colttaine says it forcibly and well.

Posted in Cult-Marx Inversion, Democracy and freedom of mind, Narrative and Taboo, The Suicide of the West | Leave a comment

‘No true Scotsman …’: time for a change of name?

Perhaps we should change the name of the ‘No true Scotsman …’ fallacy to ‘No true American …‘ ? Don’t be jealous of my ideas now, you haters!

Posted in 'No True Scotsman' Award | Leave a comment

Confirmation bias: reporting the story, or the story as one sees it?

In a letter to the Financial Times of July 6, Martin Staniforth engages in critical thinking and asks the right questions: Sir, Peter Geiger (Letters, July 3) castigates public servants for relying on expert advice. However he seems only too … Continue reading

Posted in Critical Thinking, Mind-sets and Logic-Bubbles, Motivated Reasoning, Problems with perception intuition and judgement | Leave a comment

Sundry observations

Among my reading and film watching, I occasionally come across something which confirms that I’m on the right track with my course – which tells me that what I am planning to tell students is on the right track, and … Continue reading

Posted in Cognitive systems architecture, Thinking Course | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Epistemic rationality: the role of data in logistical planning and coordination

Epistemic rationality is the key to economic efficiency, as two pieces from the Financial Times make clear. First, a letter from Richard Christian, August 23 this year: Sir, Martin Sandbu is right when he says that crises are caused by … Continue reading

Posted in Epistemic Rationality | Tagged | Leave a comment